Towards shock-responsive social protection: lessons from the COVID-19 response in Pakistan: Estimate from the microsimulation
This report presents the methodology and results of a microsimulation based on a partial equilibrium modelling framework using nationally representative household-level data for Pakistan. The findings include an estimate of the potential impact of COVID-19 on poverty in the country based on a model that assumes heterogeneity of impact across individuals and households depending on the type and sector of employment. Moreover, the model is used to assess the effectiveness, coverage, and adequacy of the social protection response to COVID-19. The microsimulation results complement a larger Pakistan country case study that documents the way in which social protection programmes, processes, and delivery systems have been used to respond to the COVID-19 crisis.
This policy brief draws on key learnings from the Pakistan research report on the social protection responses to COVID-19. The brief provides analysis of the factors that enabled and constrained the effectiveness of the delivery of social protection in Pakistan and also provides recommendations to improve preparedness to future shocks including the need to more clearly define provincial mandates on shock-responsive social protection
This policy brief presents highlights from the Uganda country case study on the social protection responses to COVID-19. The brief summarises the key findings and sets out recommendations to strengthen the foundational social protection systems and enhance the ability of the sector to respond to future shocks.
This policy brief summaries the key findings and recommendations from the Kenya country case study on the social protection responses to COVID-19. The brief provides an analysis of the key enablers and constraints to the effective delivery of the social protection response in Kenya. The brief also provides recommendations and actions to enhance preparedness for future shocks, including developing an institutional framework to guide the design, implementation and coordination of future shock responses.